Saturday, 30th May 2009

Graphic from the ConservativeHome website

UKIP is on track for a historic result at the June 4 Euro elections after the latest Populus poll for The Times newspaper released today put support for the party at 19%.

The headline figures are as shown in the graphic on the left.

See here for the full Times report :

http://www.timesonline.co.uk/tol/news/politics/article6390069.ece

This is a rise of 13% in three weeks for the party. Most observers are putting the surge in popularity down to growing voter disgust at the MP expenses scandal and the way the three major parties are dealing with the main culprits.

Polling experts estimate that 19% of the European elections vote would translate into 15 MEP seats for UKIP but with momentum building, they reckon the party could now be looking at support of more than 20% come June 4. At a similar stage before the 2004 Euro elections, UKIP was commanding 10% of the vote and ultimately took 16%.

UKIP Leader Nigel Farage told the BBC not so long ago UKIP was on course to beat Labour in the Euro elections and the result would topple Gordon Brown.

This now looks more than likely and even bookmakers William Hill have shortened the odds to even money that UKIP will out-perform Labour in Europe.

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